Tag Archives: Brandon Phillips

The NL MVP Picture

The season is wrapping up and that means its time for discussion over who deserves each league’s postseason awards. The most talked about award for Cardinals’ fans is the National League MVP because the belief is that we have two guys who should be top candidates for the title, Matt Carpenter and Yadier Molina. Now, not to disparage those two who are very good baseball players, but neither is the MVP this year in my opinion.

The award is called the Most Valuable Player. It’s not the Best Hitter Award. So what creates value in a player? There are many ways you can discuss it. Does salary factor in? How about intangibles? What are valuable statistics?

I decided to follow my favorite advice. “Keep it simple, stupid.” Value is created by winning and the only statistic that matters when it comes to winning is runs. So one of my favorite statistics to look at is what I’m now calling Total Impacted Runs (TIR). I previously called it Runs Created, but there is a sabermetric stat with the same name, so I changed it to avoid confusion. The computation is simple, Runs plus Runs Batted In minus Home Runs. So basically Total Impacted Runs determines the total number of runs you played a role in by either crossing the plate yourself or pushing a teammate across. Continue reading

The lefty-lefty matchup

I don’t like playing armchair manager the next morning after a game and saying how I would have done things differently in order to bring my team to victory. Though, I’m sure we’ve all done it at some point. However, there are times where the manager makes decisions that the statistics dispute and should you really be surprised when it goes bad?

I’d say that over the last year, I have been heavily critical of Tony LaRussa. Last year, I felt that he spent a lot of time managing the Cardinals out of games while he tried to make something happen. However, praise is definitely in order for the job he did in the first half of the season as we balanced injuries and underperforming players and pitchers who just lost their ability to pitch. Then we came back from the All Star Break.

Fans have been quick to call out Fernando Salas for his blown save and his two losses over the last few games, the one in Cincinnati and the one last night. I don’t think the entire blame needs to be put on Salas, because it never should have been a tie game or a one-run lead in the first place. I read one Cardinals’ writer who claims that LaRussa doesn’t have faith in his left handed relievers. But can you have faith in their handling after seeing how he has handled them over the last few days?

Let’s take a look at the situations.

Against Cincinnati, LaRussa brought in Raul Valdes to face Joey Votto in a lefty-lefty matchup in the 6th inning. Votto would single off of Valdes and was standing on third base when P.J. Walters got out of a bases loaded jam. The next time Votto came up to the plate, LaRussa brought in Trever Miller to face him. Votto would rip a ball for a ground-rule double and plate the go-ahead run of the inning. Continue reading

The MLB’s Most Popular Game

Or as it’s referred to more officially, the MLB All Star Game. After reading the voting updates, I wonder why they even attempt to hide the fact that it’s really a popularity contest and not an All Star Game.

To me, an All Star Game is a celebration of that season’s best players. It should be filled with deserving players, not players making it because they’ve had a few good years. However, year after year that’s what we see. Players who have already made a name for themselves get voted into the starting lineup by fans and some deserving players are left to hope they get named to the team by the managers.

On top of that, they give you 25 votes. It’s the fact they give people multiple votes per person that I have trouble wanting to vote for All Star Games or anything like that. I’m not going to take the time to vote several times over and over again, so my one vote is worthless. It also artificially inflates the vote numbers to make it appear like far more people are voting.

Looking just at the NL votes, Braves fans seem to be stuffing the ballot boxes better than any other team as they have a representative in the top-5 of every position, except for the outfield where Jason Heyward is eighth and Martin Prado is 12th.

Looking at this season’s voting and I sigh. Albert Pujols leads the field at first base. His fellow NL Central first baggers Joey Votto and Prince Fielder are following him. I’ll be the first to tell you that Albert Pujols probably doesn’t deserve to start the All Star Game, regardless he has about a 300,000 more votes than Votto. Both Votto and Fielder are more deserving of receiving the starting job in the NL.

Pujols: .275, 16 HR, 43 RBI, a 136 OPS+, and a 2.1 WAR.
Votto: .331, 9 HR, 43 RBI, a 167 OPS+, a 3.0 WAR
Fielder: .297, 19 HR, 59 RBI (first in MLB), a 177 OPS+, and a 2.8 WAR.

At second base, Brandon Phillips is leading when Rickie Weeks is far more deserving. At short stop, I can see why Troy Tulowitzki is leading, but you can also make an argument for Jose Reyes who leads the majors in batting average right now.

When we get to the National League outfield, we reach the real issue with the voting. Right now Ryan Braun, Lance Berkman, and Matt Holliday are the starting outfielders. Matt Kemp is currently 5th in the voting, but he has been the best player in the major leagues so far this year. He leads the league with 20 HR, has the highest OPS+ in the league at 196 and has a 4.4 WAR. Yet he still trails his teammate, Andre Ethier in the voting. Ethier’s numbers are nowhere near Kemp’s either.

If the game “counts” by giving the winner home field advantage in the World Series, the best players in each league at that moment should start the game. If not, the chances of that league winning home field advantage is hurt. Teams advertise that you should just vote for your favorite team’s starters down the line, no excpetions.

If you are the fan of a playoff contending team, you should be voting for the best players in the league, regardless of whether they play for your team or not, to give your team the best chance at winning home field advantage for a potential World Series run. Most fans aren’t going to realize that and will just vote for their favorite players or their favorite team’s players.

Maybe Major League Baseball should consider allowing the fans to vote the roster instead of the starting lineup. Figure two or three players for each position and then let the game’s managers select the starting lineup. That allows the fans to pick the team and see the players they want, but the managers to use the players the best way possible in order to win the game. The fact that an exhibition game affects the outcome of the World Series is ridiculous.

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