Tag Archives: Kyle Lohse

Jackson making his case

Cue the Edwin Jackson stories, it seems. Had all my notes out to write this and in the last 24 hours I’ve seen three or four stories on him and his impending free agent status.

Since coming to the Cardinals as part of the 8 player trade with the the Toronto Blue Jays that involved Colby Rasmus, Edwin Jackson has blinked once and been phenomenal the rest of the time. In his 8 starts, he has a 3.44 ERA, a 4-2 record and averages 6.54 innings per start. If you take out the one start in Milwaukee where he got bombed for 8 earned runs over 7 innings, that ERA drops to 2.36. That’s a sparkly small ERA.

It also makes him the Cardinals’ best starting pitcher in those last 8 starts.

Jackson: 4-2, 3.44 ERA, 6.54 IP/GS
Westbrook: 3-3, 3.99 ERA, 6.21 IP/GS
Carpenter: 2-2, 4.44 ERA, 6.58 IP/GS
Lohse: 4-2, 4.95 ERA, 5.00 IP/GS
Garcia: 2-3, 5.12 ERA, 5.70 IP/GS

However you stack it up, Jackson has done exactly what the Cardinals needed him to do.

So he gives the Cardinals an interesting question going into 2012. The typical idea is that the Cardinals will need to acquire another starting pitcher, whether that is retaining Chris Carpenter or Edwin Jackson, giving a young guy a shot in the rotation, or finding someone in free agent to fill the slot.

Over the last month, Jackson has pitches his way into the 2012 plans, in my opinion. He is making $8.3 million on a two-year contract that bought out his final two years of arbitration. This is his first splash in free agency and has Scott Boras as his agent. Because of that, I doubt we get any action on him before the start of free agency. Unless Jackson directs Boras to make him a Cardinal, he’s likely going elsewhere because a player doesn’t keep Scott Boras as his agent unless he wants big money.

Just a few days from his 28th birthday, Jackson could command decent money, especially with his strong finish to the season. However, I’d be willing to offer him about a 3 year, $35 million deal. It’s a raise and locks him in. If he turns into the pitcher Dave Duncan thinks he can be, it will be a heckuva deal for the Cardinals.

Look around the league at the best teams. They all have great starting pitching. The Cardinals need to solidify that rotation, even if it is at the expense of their offense, in order to contend.

Cardinals’ GM John Mozeliak recently told the Post-Dispatch’s Joe Strauss that they hope to retain Rafael Furcal next season. Is there similar interest in retaining Edwin Jackson? Personally, I’m not sure the Cardinals can afford to let him go. I know, I led the “Just say No to Edwin Jackson” campaign when the trade rumors came up. His performance has changed my mind.

Looking at 2012: Part 1

As the Cardinals near staring a 10 game deficit the topic of 2012 has once again crept into the minds of their fans. There are some huge questions hanging over the franchise as the season begins to wind down and I don’t know if there is another franchise with as much uncertainty towards next year.

In case you haven’t been paying attention, Albert Pujols is question #1 for the Cardinals entering the offseason. He is playing this year on the option year of the 7 year, $100 million contract he signed before the 2004 season. His impending free agency has been offseason topic #1 for all of baseball. It’s not every day that the best player of the last decade becomes available on the market. Because of that, it’s a topic that everyone has covered deeply, not just myself.

Manager Tony LaRussa also finds himself at the end of a contract this season. He does have an option for next year, but there always has to be the uncertainty until he says that he’s picking up that option.

Chris Carpenter is in the final year of his contract, but has a $15 million option for 2012. Adam Wainwright, who underwent Tommy John surgery in February, has missed this season and probably won’t make it back. That means his $21 million option that keeps him a Cardinal for the next two years doesn’t automatically vest, however the team has indicated they plan to pick up the option regardless.

Their catcher, Yadier Molina is in the final year of his last contract as well. He has an option for next season that could net him $7 million. However, there are rumors that they might renegotiate for more years and reduce that salary number for next year.

Lance Berkman, who is probably the best signing of the last offseason, will also be a free agent after his 1 year, $8 million contract expires. Berkman currently has the 25th highest batting average in the National League. He is also 3rd in the NL in home runs and 9th in runs batted in.

You also have a handful of guys that we traded for that are also eligible for free agency. Rafael Furcal has a $12 million team option for next year. Octavio Dotel has a $3.5 million option as well. The final piece would be starting pitcher Edwin Jackson, who many see as having a lot of potential as a pitcher, is also a free agent at the end of the year.

There’s also the arbitration question. Do you try to trade Skip Schumaker or Ryan Theriot before their final arbitration year? Do you non-tender them? Do you keep them around?

John Mozeliak will definitely earn his paycheck this winter with all the work he has ahead of him. It is the most busy that I can remember any offseason being.

The Cardinals officially enter next season with $41 million committed to Matt Holliday, Kyle Lohse, Jake Westbrook, and Jaime Garcia. I think it’s safe to assume that the Cardinals will pick up the options of Wainwright and Molina, which pushes the number up to a cool $57 million.

In part two, I will discuss the contract options that are on the table for the Cardinals and what internal talent can we expect to contribute in 2012.

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Approval Ratings: July

In this series, I poll all the Cardinals fans that I can get to take my Approval Rating survey, utilizing Cardinals’ forums and Twitter. Unfortunately, July’s ratings were much delayed form where they should have been, with the polling taking place in the second week of August. Obviously that will effect some of the results with a week and a half of performance from August. However, I will make every effort to get August’s ratings up at the correct time.

For Cardinals’ fans, they loved some Lance-Squared as I’ve heard them referred to. That would be the combination of Lance Berkman and Lance Lynn. The pair were the highest rated Cardinals of July, receiving an 8.8 rating. For both Berkman and Lynn it is the second straight month that they have maintained their position atop the ratings for hitters and pitchers, respectively.

And who can really blame them? Lance Berkman has been the best free agent signing of last offseason. He’s currently hitting just under .300, nearly 30 home runs, and will have a shot at 100 RBI. I think it’s safe to say that absolutely nobody outside of a psychiatric ward expected that kind of performance out him this season, including himself.

For Lance Lynn, he got two spot starts in St. Louis before being recalled a few weeks later to pitch out of the bullpen. Lynn owned that move. While some pitchers might have been effected by the perceived “demotion” to the bullpen, Lynn took his position and dominated. It wasn’t rare for him to come into games, blazing that upper-90s fastball across the plate, and getting strikeout after strikeout. It really hurt the bullpen when Lynn went on the disabled list.

The three highest rated position players are Berkman, Holliday with an 8.6 and Yadier Molina with an 8.0. The player who moved the needle the most this month? Positively, that would be Albert Pujols who is up 0.4 to a 7.6. On the down side is Ryan Theriot who lost ground for another month, losing 1.5 points to a 5.0.

The three highest rated pitchers were all out of the bullpen. Who really thought they could have said that a month ago? Lynn leads with his 8.8. Fernando Salas received an 8.5 while Jason Motte‘s scoreless streak that extends back into June received him an 8.0. The biggest shift was Motte, who jumped 1.8 points. The big loser on the pitching staff was Kyle Lohse, who fell 2.7 points to a 5.5 after a rough month.

Management took a hit this month. Despite pulling off a trade that moved Colby Rasmus that received a mixed response and bringing in someone to potentially solve all the major problems that faced the 2011 Cardinals, John Mozeliak dropped 0.2 points to a 6.6. Probably close enough that it could be considered a push. However, it was Tony LaRussa whose approval rating plunged 1.1 points to a 5.5, his lowest score of the season.

We also had five debuts on the list this month. Rafael Furcal debuts with an 8.0, Octavio Dotel with a 7.5, Marc Rzepczynski with a 7.3, Corey Patterson with a 5.8, and Edwin Jackson receives a 5.6.

As with every approval ratings, I like to ask some questions to gauge the response of Cardinal Nation. We will start with the trade deadline talk.

The Cardinals made two moves at the deadline. One involved a package headed by Colby Rasmus being traded to the Toronto Blue Jays for Jackson, Rzepczynski, Dotel, and Patterson. The trade is also rumored to include cash or 3 players to be named later. You also have to consider the potential draft picks that the Cardinals will receive in compensation for Jackson. The response on this trade was a complete push with Cardinal Nation split on the idea. For 2012 and beyond, I question it’s value, but for 2011 it was the best option the Cardinals had on the table.

Rafael Furcal’s trade was received much more favorably. The Cardinals dealt minor league outfielder Alex Castellanos (who is killing it in AA for the Dodgers since the trade, by the wya) for the veteran Furcal who was designed to solidify the defense at shortstop. 90% of responders liked the trade with 10% saying that they didn’t.

As the August 31st waiver trade deadline approaches, the question is obviously posed whether the Cardinals will attempt to make another deal to further solidify the team. As the potential double-digit deficit stares the Cardinals in the face, they may not now. 57% of responders think the Cardinals will not make another move, with the remaining 43% expecting at least one more acquisition.

Then, to the question that is on everyone’s mind as the end of the season looms. Are the Cardinals destined for the playoffs? 95% of responders think that the Cardinals will not win the NL Wild Card. However, 62% of responders think that the Cardinals will win the NL Central. Combining the two figures, that gives us 67% of fans who think the Cardinals will still make the playoffs. You gotta believe!

Keep an eye out for the August Approval Ratings survey coming late next week.

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Rockies @ Cards Notebook

Luckily the Cardinals were able to salvage at least one win out of the three-game series against the NL Central leading Brewers, leaving them just 4 back of the Brewers entering play today. While the Brewers head home to play Pittsburgh, the Colorado Rockies come to town for the Cardinals.

In tonight’s game, Kyle Lohse (9-7, 3.45) will match up against Aaron Cook (2-6, 5.05). Saturday will feature Jaime Garcia (10-5, 3.23) against Jason Hammel (6-11, 5.14). The final game in the series looks to be Edwin Jackson (1-1, 4.95) against Esmil Rogers (6-1, 5.85). The Cardinals took 2 out of 3 the last time these two teams matched up back in May in Colorado.

Holliday day-to-day with back injury.¬†There is still no determination on just when to expect Matt Holliday back in the lineup. So far Holliday has missed two games with the injury. Back injuries are strange beasts. Sometimes they are good to go the next day, sometimes it takes a week or more. From what I’ve read, it seems like he may be back after this series with the Rockies.

The only potential positive out of this is that Allen Craig is back with the big club. While he’s been an ice cold 0-for-7 in two starts since returning, this gives him some playing time to get back on track after an extended amount of time off.¬† Continue reading

Why not Mark Buehrle?

The most popular question that seems to be coming out of the Colby Rasmus to the White Sox rumors seems to be:

Why not Mark Buehrle?

Why not Mark Buehrle, indeed. The 32 year old pitcher has 155 wins and a 3.82 ERA over his 12 seasons in the big leagues. He has thrown 200 or more innings in 10 of those, and is on pace to do it again. The fewest games he’s started when he’s been on the roster all year is 30 games. Not to mention he grew up a Cardinals fan and lives near St. Louis.

Buehrle has often spoken of his desire to play for the Cardinals before his playing days are over. He has 10/5 rights as a veteran player for the White Sox, but fans ask, wouldn’t he waive them for the Cardinals?

He probably would, and most Cardinals fans would prefer that option to Edwin Jackson, I know I would. But it ends up being the cost factor that would have the Cardinals backing out of a potential deal for Buehrle.

As it turns out, Buehrle has an option for 2012 that kicks in if he is traded. That option adds up to $16 million total. He gets an extra $1 million this year for being traded and $15 million the next year as his salary.

After the trade of Francisco Rodriguez to the Brewers, John Mozeliak was asked why the Cardinals weren’t in on the player popularly known as “K-Rod.” Mozeliak said that Rodriguez’s $17.5 million option would have handcuffed the team financially next year. So if, Rodriguez’s $17.5 million option will handcuff the team, so will Buehrle $15 million one.

Time for some number crunching to see just how true this statement turns out being. Continue reading