Tag Archives: Matt Holliday

Cardinals’ Approval Ratings: June

After missing May due to life circumstances (it was mid-June before I even thought about them), the Cardinals’ Approval Ratings are back with the June numbers.

The Cardinals’ June swoon leaves me really wishing I had results from May so that I could really have an accurate look at how badly it hurt peoples’ numbers.

The Cardinals wrapped up the month of June having gone 11-15. The offense scored 114 runs in 26 games in the month of June. That’s an average of 4.4 runs per game and that puts them in a tie with the Dodgers for 9th in the major leagues. On the other hand, the Cardinals had the worst pitching staff in the majors, allowing 132 runs in those 26 games, that’s 5.1 runs per game. Their team ERA of 4.72 was 29th of 30 teams, only beating out Toronto.

On the offensive side of the baseball, Lance Berkman took over the role of the highest rated Cardinal, though he dropped from a 9.4 to a 9.3 rating. Matt Holliday dropped from a 9.8 in April to an 8.6 at the end of June. The biggest drop in the starting lineup was Colby Rasmus tumbling 1.4 points to a 6.8, reflecting his struggles over the last two months. The biggest jump was Yadier Molina who recovered his losses over the first month to receive an 8.1 rating at the end of June. Skip Schumaker jumped 1.3 points himself, vaulting himself to a 7.4 rating.
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Franklin to be released

The story out of St. Louis according to reports from the Post-Dispatch’s Joe Strauss is that Ryan Franklin is set to be released by the St. Louis Cardinals today.

The embattled closer has failed to reclaim his reliability out of the bullpen and is on his way out. Through 27 innings this season, Franklin sports an 8.46 ERA. He has allowed 9 home runs this season, the same as he allowed in the previous two combined.

After reclaiming some reliability during an 8 inning run from mid-May to mid-June, he posted a 2.25 ERA with 7 strikeouts and just 1 walk. Things looked to be turning around for him. Thoughts were entertained that he was over his issues and would once again take an important role in a bullpen that was still reeling from the loss of it’s closer. However, in his last four appearances, Franklin has allowed 5 homers in 6 innings of work and has a 13.50 ERA.

While many in Cardinal Nation will be screaming “Finally” and “What took so long” to this news, I find it difficult to rejoice in a player’s hardships. Let alone one that has given up money and performed so well for us. While it may be good for the team that Ryan Franklin won’t be pitching out of the bullpen for the Cardinals, he is hardly the only issue in the bullpen. This team is better off with a successful Franklin than without a struggling one.
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Pujols out approximately six weeks

Last night in the sixth inning, a Pete Kozma throw drifted away from first base. After catching it and tagging the runner, Albert Pujols collapsed in pain.

My first reaction at the time was that it reminded me of the type of hit my favorite player, Scott Rolen, took a couple times. He wasn’t the same player for years. Thankfully, it’s not the same injury.

The verdict? Pujols will miss approximately six weeks with a broken bone just above his left wrist.

So where does this leave the Cardinals as they now have to consider a month and a half without the man who has been the best player in baseball over the last decade?

For many fans, their eyes are on the basement as they contemplate a life without the best player in baseball. How can the Cardinals even come close to contending without the team’s game changer? Teams and pitchers alter their approach to the Cardinals lineup because of Pujols’ appearance in it. Now they don’t have to worry about it and as a result, the lineup becomes easier to get through.

While I won’t deny that the Cardinals lineup is easier without Pujols sitting in the #3 spot, the season is far from over.

During Albert Pujols’ career he has had two other DL stints. Ironically, both took place in June. But during those times, the Cardinals teams of 2006 and 2008 each carried on. The 2006 team going 8-7 and the 2008 team going 6-7. That’s a combined 14-14 and hardly something that would kill the chances of either team.

From April 10th to May 29th, the Cardinals posted a 30-16 record in 46 games while Pujols hit .272 with a .338 OBP, 7 HR and 24 RBI. In the 19 games since, the Cardinals are 8-11 while Pujols has hit .343 with a .439 OBP, 9 HR, and 17 RBI. I may catch some flack for this statement, but Albert Pujols isn’t the reason the Cardinals win games.

What’s the common thread? Matt Holliday. That first 46 game span began when Holliday returned from his first DL stint and it ends right before he goes for his second (I didn’t even realize that when I pulled the numbers out for the previous paragraph). Holliday hit .336 with 4 HR and 29 RBI over that 46 game span. Since he returned to the lineup after his second DL stint, the Cardinals have gone 2-2 and Holliday is hitting .417 with already a pair of homers (one of which was a game winner) and 4 RBI.

It’s easy to sit there and pack it in and declare the season over with this news. But the season is far from over. This team has some resilience and has held off injuries before. Fox Sports Midwest had a graphic during a recent game that showed the Cardinals played roughly .750 baseball with one of Pujols, Holliday, or Berkman out of the lineup but were just .500 with all three of them. Of course, Albert’s played every game so far this season.

The Cardinals success over the next six weeks will depend on the bit players stepping it up a little bit and coming through with key hits. It will also depend on the pitching staff keeping us in games. If they can, we have enough offense, even without Pujols to win ballgames.

The injury has relatively good timing. He will hopefully be back in the first week of August and will be manning his first base position in time for the stretch run. He also has a history of coming off the disabled list strong, hitting .372 in 2006 and .378 in 2008 in the 10 games after coming off the DL.

Additionally, the Cardinals aren’t playing a very tough schedule of teams. While we haven’t faced Toronto, Baltimore, Tampa, and the New York Mets yet, the rest of the schedule through the end of July we are 18-10 (.643) against so far this season. Those other teams also have a combined winning percentage of .487, so the Cardinals really only need to be about league average to walk out of this stretch to walk away above .500.

They also play 20 of the next 35 games at home, which can be beneficial.

We also have David Freese and Nick Punto close to coming back off the disabled list. Punto’s rehab assignment began last night with Double-A Springfield and Freese begins his tonight with Triple-A Memphis. Having Freese’s bat back in the lineup and having Punto’s excellent glove back as an option should help this team immensely.

So while having Pujols on the DL and not in the lineup will hurt the team for obvious reasons, it is far from time to call the season over. The next month and a half will tell the story, but I think the Cardinals can and will absorb the loss and still be in contention when he returns.

And a side note, many are also wondering whether this is going to impact Albert Pujols’ contract negotations. The answer is probably not. It depends on what Albert does after he returns to the club. If he’s the same old Albert Pujols, then it won’t. If he struggles like several other high profile players who have come back from wrist injuries, then it might take a little off. He’s still the big name and he still catches people’s eyes. But a slow finish to the season (combined with what has been a fairly slow start) might discourage some teams from opening the wallet as far as they had before.

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Pujols out approximately six weeks

Last night in the sixth inning, a Pete Kozma throw drifted away from first base. After catching it and tagging the runner, Albert Pujols collapsed in pain.

My first reaction at the time was that it reminded me of the type of hit my favorite player, Scott Rolen, took a couple times. He wasn’t the same player for years. Thankfully, it’s not the same injury.

The verdict? Pujols will miss approximately six weeks with a broken bone just above his left wrist.

So where does this leave the Cardinals as they now have to consider a month and a half without the man who has been the best player in baseball over the last decade?

For many fans, their eyes are on the basement as they contemplate a life without the best player in baseball. How can the Cardinals even come close to contending without the team’s game changer? Teams and pitchers alter their approach to the Cardinals lineup because of Pujols’ appearance in it. Now they don’t have to worry about it and as a result, the lineup becomes easier to get through.

While I won’t deny that the Cardinals lineup is easier without Pujols sitting in the #3 spot, the season is far from over.
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The MLB’s Most Popular Game

Or as it’s referred to more officially, the MLB All Star Game. After reading the voting updates, I wonder why they even attempt to hide the fact that it’s really a popularity contest and not an All Star Game.

To me, an All Star Game is a celebration of that season’s best players. It should be filled with deserving players, not players making it because they’ve had a few good years. However, year after year that’s what we see. Players who have already made a name for themselves get voted into the starting lineup by fans and some deserving players are left to hope they get named to the team by the managers.

On top of that, they give you 25 votes. It’s the fact they give people multiple votes per person that I have trouble wanting to vote for All Star Games or anything like that. I’m not going to take the time to vote several times over and over again, so my one vote is worthless. It also artificially inflates the vote numbers to make it appear like far more people are voting.

Looking just at the NL votes, Braves fans seem to be stuffing the ballot boxes better than any other team as they have a representative in the top-5 of every position, except for the outfield where Jason Heyward is eighth and Martin Prado is 12th.

Looking at this season’s voting and I sigh. Albert Pujols leads the field at first base. His fellow NL Central first baggers Joey Votto and Prince Fielder are following him. I’ll be the first to tell you that Albert Pujols probably doesn’t deserve to start the All Star Game, regardless he has about a 300,000 more votes than Votto. Both Votto and Fielder are more deserving of receiving the starting job in the NL.

Pujols: .275, 16 HR, 43 RBI, a 136 OPS+, and a 2.1 WAR.
Votto: .331, 9 HR, 43 RBI, a 167 OPS+, a 3.0 WAR
Fielder: .297, 19 HR, 59 RBI (first in MLB), a 177 OPS+, and a 2.8 WAR.

At second base, Brandon Phillips is leading when Rickie Weeks is far more deserving. At short stop, I can see why Troy Tulowitzki is leading, but you can also make an argument for Jose Reyes who leads the majors in batting average right now.

When we get to the National League outfield, we reach the real issue with the voting. Right now Ryan Braun, Lance Berkman, and Matt Holliday are the starting outfielders. Matt Kemp is currently 5th in the voting, but he has been the best player in the major leagues so far this year. He leads the league with 20 HR, has the highest OPS+ in the league at 196 and has a 4.4 WAR. Yet he still trails his teammate, Andre Ethier in the voting. Ethier’s numbers are nowhere near Kemp’s either.

If the game “counts” by giving the winner home field advantage in the World Series, the best players in each league at that moment should start the game. If not, the chances of that league winning home field advantage is hurt. Teams advertise that you should just vote for your favorite team’s starters down the line, no excpetions.

If you are the fan of a playoff contending team, you should be voting for the best players in the league, regardless of whether they play for your team or not, to give your team the best chance at winning home field advantage for a potential World Series run. Most fans aren’t going to realize that and will just vote for their favorite players or their favorite team’s players.

Maybe Major League Baseball should consider allowing the fans to vote the roster instead of the starting lineup. Figure two or three players for each position and then let the game’s managers select the starting lineup. That allows the fans to pick the team and see the players they want, but the managers to use the players the best way possible in order to win the game. The fact that an exhibition game affects the outcome of the World Series is ridiculous.

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The ones where the Brewers swept

It was an ugly, ugly sweeping at the hands of the new front runner in the NL Central. Over the 3 games the Brewers outscored the Cardinals 17-6, with 13 of those 17 runs being scored against the Cardinals starting rotation. That leads me to my first note.

  • The starting pitcher has struggled so far in June. In 11 games in June, the Cardinals pitching staff sports a 4.63 ERA (compared to a 3.28 in April and 3.91 in May). In June they are the 24th best pitching staff in the league by ERA. While the injuries to Matt Holliday and other members of the offense are taking the headlines, behind the scenes the pitching has cost us games.
  • Speaking of the offense, the team that scored the most runs in April, the sixth most runs in May, has currently scored just the 12th most runs in June. While Holliday hitting the DL has gotten the most attention, the lack of depth after the injury to Allen Craig is really what is hurting the Cardinals right now. Craig has filled in admirably in games where Holliday has been injured. In games where Craig has played and Holliday has not, Craig has a .298 batting average with a .359 OBP. He’s added 2 HR and 9 RBI.
  • Should the sweep by the Brewers concern Cardinals fans? Yes and no. Yes, in that, it is the Brewers and I expect that they are the team we will be fighting in September for a playoff spot. No, in that the Brewers are finally at 100% after some early injuries and are really hot right now while the Cardinals are thin with Holliday, Craig, and McClellan on the shelf.
  • Andrew Brown became the sixth (if my memory is right) Memphis Redbird to make his major league debut for the Cardinals this season. His was relatively forgettable as he struck out in a pinch hitting appearance. The 26 year old has done nothing but hit for power through his minor league career. He had 21 home runs in 2008, 22 last year in Springfield, and already had 11 for Memphis this year along with a career high .357 batting average. With Holliday hoping to return Thursday and Craig on the DL for at least another week and a half, it would be nice to see Brown get a start or two for the Cardinals to show what he’s got as he makes in game adjustments.
  • Also, you can catch me with Dathan Brooks on the UCB Radio Hour this Wednesday night. Realignment was something we were kicking around on his blog the last couple weeks and now the news comes out that this is something that’s really being considered by Major League Baseball. We will cover that topic and more on Wednesday night at 10:30 eastern (9:30 Cardinals time). You can listen and check out more information on the show here.